How Accurate 7 Day Weather Forecast Is? Top Weather Apps [Explained]

Feb 20 2021 - Views: 2434
Rate: 4.7 - 50Votes

You can access different sites to get detailed weather information, from hourly weather forecasts to an accurate 7 day weather forecast. But have you ever wondered how reliable these predictions are? In this article, we will explain how accurate this weather forecast is and recommend some sites for checking the weather accurately. 

Where to get an accurate 7 day weather forecast?

Where to get an accurate 7 day weather forecast?

How Reliable Weather Forecasts Are?

Nowcasting (0 - 6 hours)

Nowcasting gives very accurate short-term weather predictions. It combines real-time data from radar, satellites, and local observations to estimate changes over the following several hours. 

This method is particularly effective for forecasting sudden weather changes, like thunderstorms or snowfall, in specific locations. 

Because nowcasting employs real-time data, it is typically quite precise, particularly for localized weather occurrences.

 Nowcasting weather forecast

Nowcasting weather forecast

Short-range weather forecasts (1 - 3 days)

Short-term predictions are fairly dependable, with accuracy levels ranging from 85 to 90%. Meteorologists utilize computer models and historical data to forecast general weather trends, such as whether a location will get rain or sun. 

These forecasts are useful for day-to-day preparation and can account for major weather events like storms and heat waves. Still, accuracy suffers in complicated weather circumstances, particularly in highly dynamic environments.

Medium-range weather forecasts (3 - 10 days)

How accurate is 7 day weather forecast? Medium-range weather predictions provide a compromise between short-range precision and long-range uncertainty. 

Medium-range predictions are usually highly reliable for the first 3 to 5 days, with accuracy rates ranging from 70 to 80%. Weather systems are dynamic and can alter owing to many factors, therefore accuracy drops after 5 days. 

 The accuracy of 7 day weather forecast

The accuracy of 7 day weather forecast

The larger the time horizon, the greater the margin for error, especially when forecasting specific phenomena such as rain or storms in a given location. 

These forecasts are often useful for preparing a few days ahead, but their accuracy begins to decline after the first few days.

Long-range weather forecast (Beyond 10 days)

The chaotic nature of the atmosphere makes it more difficult to forecast over 10 days in the future (next 15 days weather forecast, next 20 days weather forecast, next 30 days weather forecast).

 Long-range weather forecast

Long-range weather forecast

They depend on overall weather patterns rather than particular data. While they can detect broad trends, such as a hot or cold spell, their accuracy deteriorates over time due to the chaotic structure of weather systems. 

These forecasts are useful for acquiring a general understanding of future conditions, but they should not be utilized for specific planning.

Where to Get Accurate 7 Day Weather Forecast?

Go Weather Forecast

As one of the most accurate sources for weather forecasts and warnings in the world, Go Weather Forecast keeps people safe and out of harm's way by providing an accurate 7 day weather forecast and even 10 day weather predictions.

The interactive weather maps can be customized to show temperature, weather, and wind forecasts. You can also overlay pressure and live weather observations on maps of any country. 

 Get accurate 7 day weather forecast on Go Weather Forecast

Get accurate 7 day weather forecast on Go Weather Forecast

Select weather forecast pages today to get 3 hourly details and live weather reports. 

You can also update weather news or browse weather photo albums, which show a great selection of weather extremes from around the world, including hurricanes, floods, storms, tornadoes, and major snow events.

The Weather Channel

This is one of the best weather sites for an accurate 7 day weather forecast. It is easy to read. Besides, the site also provides weather news and easy-to-use interactive maps. 

 The Weather Channel

The Weather Channel

Accessing the site, you can get detailed data like dew point, humidity, temperature, and wind. You can also turn on watches and warnings. 

However, ads can detract from the viewing experience.

Weather Underground

Another site providing weather updates is Weather Underground. The website has a current weather report for where you are standing and a weather forecast for other places.

 Weather Underground

Weather Underground

In addition to top weather news spread on the rest of the home page, the site also has more sections such as Maps and Radar, Sensor Network, Severe Weather,  Blogs, and more. For real-time weather alerts, you can sign up for the website.

How Reliable Weather Forecast Sites Are?

The process of weather forecasts begins with data and observations of the current state of the atmosphere collected from weather stations all over the world, satellites, and reports. 

Next, the data is fed into supercomputers to generate numerical models, which give the basis of the weather forecast.  

 How reliable weather forecast sites are?

How reliable weather forecast sites are?

After that, the meteorologists use their knowledge of the local weather patterns to interpret the models. 

Some models are designed especially for the long term, while others are designed for short-term forecasting. However, it's the meteorologist who knows how good the reputation of each model is and adjusts and improves the forecast based on this knowledge.

In short, the variation among weather sites comes from the different supercomputers and meteorologists who adjust those forecasts further.

Conclusion

No doubt, the development of technology has greatly contributed to the accuracy of forecasting. You can get an accurate 7 day weather forecast from the reliable sites listed above. However, just like the economy, the weather always keeps its secrets, resisting our efforts to predict the future accurately. The further the weather forecasts, the less accurate they are.

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